Saudi Arabia finds itself trapped in a geographic dilemma: its eastern export route through the Strait of Hormuz is threatened by Iran, while its western alternative through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and Red Sea is targeted by Yemen’s Houthis.
What Saudi Arabia Is Doing to Bypass the Blockades
- Activating the East-West Pipeline (Petroline): Saudi Arabia’s primary immediate workaround is its 750-mile Petroline. The kingdom converted natural gas liquid lines to crude oil, raising capacity to roughly 7 million barrels per day (bpd). This moves crude directly from eastern oilfields across the desert to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, completely bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.
- Northward Rerouting via Suez & Sumed: With Houthis targeting ships attempting to exit the Red Sea southward into the Indian Ocean, tankers loaded at Yanbu are making U-turns to sail north. They offload via Egypt’s Sumed pipeline or transit the Suez Canal into the Mediterranean to reach buyers.
- Exploring Overland Mediterranean Corridors: Diplomatically and strategically, Riyadh has explored overland pipelines through Jordan and Syria to the Mediterranean (such as the proposed Gulf–Mediterranean corridor), eliminating maritime chokepoints altogether.
Oil Rerouting: Is It Working?
Only partially, and at severe cost.
- The “Bypass for the Bypass” Problem: Moving oil to Yanbu successfully avoids the Strait of Hormuz. However, sending that oil to major Asian markets requires passing through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the southern end of the Red Sea. Houthi drone and missile strikes have forced Asian-bound tankers to reverse course.
- Extreme Logistics Costs & Bottlenecks: Diverting Asian cargoes north through Suez or around Africa (via the Cape of Good Hope) adds thousands of miles, weeks of transit time, massive insurance surcharges, and higher freight fees. Furthermore, standard Suez infrastructure cannot accommodate fully loaded Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) without offloading part of their cargo.
Is There a Sustainable Long-Term Solution to Remain Dependent on Oil?
No purely maritime or oil-dependent strategy is fully sustainable under constant blockade threats.
- Geographic Vulnerability: As long as Saudi Arabia depends almost entirely on oil revenues, its economy remains at the mercy of two narrow maritime chokepoints. Moving from Hormuz to the Red Sea simply shifted dependence from one vulnerable transit point to another.
- Overland Pipelines Have Political Risks: Building pipelines across neighboring countries (e.g., through Iraq, Syria, Jordan, or Oman) bypasses maritime straits but introduces political instability, sabotage risks, and reliance on transit partners.
- The Real Solution (Economic Diversification): Saudi Arabia’s leadership recognizes that relying heavily on oil while surrounded by regional friction points is a long-term liability. The only truly sustainable strategy is Vision 2030—diversifying the economy into mining, logistics, manufacturing, tourism, tech, and renewable energy so state revenue is no longer uniquely exposed to sea-lane disruptions.
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