Malaysia’s manufacturing PMI declined to 48.6 in December 2024, marking the seventh consecutive month of contraction and the lowest reading in nine months. According to S&P Global, the sector remains under pressure due to subdued domestic and international demand. Key highlights include:
Manufacturing: Declining Activity
Declining Activity: Production and new orders weakened further, with export orders contracting for the first time in 10 months. Output and purchasing activity also fell, depleting inventories of raw materials and finished goods.
Labour Market Softness: Employment contracted for the third straight month, reflecting reduced demand.
Input Costs: Inflation slowed to its lowest since June 2020, as falling material prices partially offset currency-related inflation. Firms raised prices only marginally.
Business Confidence: Despite challenges, firms remain optimistic, anticipating a recovery in demand and production.
Regional Context
While Malaysia’s manufacturing sector contracted, the ASEAN region showed broad expansion (PMI: 50.8), led by growth in Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia. However, Vietnam joined Malaysia in contraction, and major players like South Korea and Japan also faced weaker demand.
Outlook
The softening PMI suggests Malaysia’s economic growth in 4Q2024 may moderate, constrained by weak domestic demand and external uncertainties, including potential protectionist trade policies and geopolitical tensions. While a recovery is anticipated, near-term industrial and business activities are likely to remain cautious.
Malaysia’s manufacturing sector may face persistent challenges in early 2025. However, improvements in external conditions, supportive policies, and gradual demand recovery could provide a pathway for stabilization and growth in the medium term.
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