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The latest data on Malaysia’s manufacturing sector highlights persistent challenges midway through the third quarter of 2024. Demand remained weak in August, prompting firms to scale back production at the steepest rate in four months. The S&P Global Malaysia Manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 49.7, indicating a slight contraction in the sector.
• Demand and Production: New business and production continued to decline, with subdued domestic demand and only modest improvements in international markets. Manufacturers focused on fulfilling existing orders, reducing purchasing activity, and winding down stocks of both purchases and finished goods.
• Inflation Pressures: Input price inflation accelerated to its highest level since September 2022, driving significant increases in output prices for the fifth consecutive month.
• Employment and Capacity: Employment levels fell for the second consecutive month, with firms indicating they had sufficient capacity due to declining outstanding business.
Despite current challenges, manufacturers remain cautiously optimistic about future output growth. However, uncertainty persists due to global economic conditions, with downside risks potentially slowing the pace of recovery.
Usamah Bhatti, Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented on the findings:
“The latest PMI data suggested that demand conditions in the Malaysian manufacturing sector remained subdued midway through the third quarter of 2024, as production and new order inflows moderated at a marginal rate. That said, the data are still consistent with the GDP growth seen in the second quarter of the year continuing. However, further evidence was provided to indicate that conditions are likely to remain subdued in the short term. Firms opted to work through existing orders in the absence of new order growth, while firms also scaled back purchases, employment, and stock holdings.
“Positively, firms remained confident that output would improve over the coming year, with the degree of confidence solid overall. That said, firms mentioned that they remained unsure regarding the speed of the recovery, with downside risks centered around a muted global economy.”
Overall, the data suggest that Malaysia’s manufacturing sector is experiencing a slight downturn, with a cautious outlook for the coming months.
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