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The US job market showed remarkable strength in May, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 272,000, according to the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics. This figure significantly surpassed the market expectations of 185,000 jobs, as predicted by economists polled by Reuters. The report also revised March and April job gains down by a combined 15,000.
May’s employment growth outpaced the monthly average of 232,000 over the past year. The private sector, which makes up 85.3% of total employment, added 229,000 jobs, up from 158,000 in April. Private service providers saw their workforce expand by 204,000, marking the fastest growth in a year, with all sub-sectors except the information sector increasing their hiring.
The goods-producing sector rebounded with an addition of 25,000 payrolls, following no change in April. Manufacturing employment grew by 8,000, up from 6,000 in April, while construction payrolls rose by 21,000 after stagnating in the previous month. Government payrolls also saw significant growth, increasing by 43,000 compared to just 7,000 in April, driven largely by strong local government hiring, which added 34,000 jobs after losing 1,000 in April.
Despite the robust job growth, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.0%, the highest in 28 months, from 3.9% in April, contrary to market expectations that it would remain unchanged.
This surge in employment, alongside higher wage growth, suggests a mixed economic outlook. While the broad moderation in US inflation and increased unemployment claims indicate a cooling labor market, the robust job growth could support the Federal Reserve in easing the restrictiveness of its monetary policy. Analysts anticipate that the Fed may begin to cut policy interest rates in the latter part of the second half of 2024, considering the still strong job market and persistently above-target inflation. – Source: MIDF
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