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Analyst Report

Calm before the storm?


The FBM KLCI recovered on blue-chip buying, though geopolitical risks, foreign outflows and weak market breadth temper optimism.

The FBM KLCI rebounded 0.63% to close at 1,683.26 on Thursday, recovering part of the previous session’s losses as buying interest returned to heavyweight banking and plantation stocks. The benchmark index outperformed most regional peers despite a cautious market environment, although overall sentiment remained mixed as decliners outnumbered gainers, indicating that the advance was largely driven by blue-chip counters.

Storm?

Plantation stocks led sectoral gains, followed by Financial Services and REITs, while Technology, Industrial Products and Services, and Utilities lagged. The weakness in technology shares mirrored broader global trends, as semiconductor-related counters came under pressure.

Overnight, Wall Street ended mixed, with the Dow Jones hitting a record high while the Nasdaq slipped amid continued selling in chip stocks. European markets advanced on easing oil prices, but investors remained wary of geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Across Asia, most major indices closed lower.

Market sentiment

Looking ahead, market sentiment is expected to remain cautious as investors monitor the fragile ceasefire situation in the Middle East and ongoing diplomatic engagements involving the United States and Iran. Domestically, persistent foreign fund outflows and growing political uncertainty ahead of state elections could keep the FBM KLCI range-bound, although support from banking, plantation and defensive sectors may help cushion downside risks.

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