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In a dramatic escalation of President Donald Trump’s trade war with the European Union, experts warn that US financial services firms could face restrictions in the EU if the European Commission deploys its Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI). Trump’s “liberation day” tariffs, imposing a 20% levy on all EU imports, have prompted the EU to weigh retaliatory measures beyond goods, potentially targeting America’s robust services sector, which accounts for about 80% of US GDP. The ACI, introduced in 2023 to counter economic coercion, could limit US banks’ operations in Europe, though such a move requires unanimous approval from all 27 EU member states.
Andrew Wilson of the International Chamber of Commerce cautioned that while the EU has significant leverage, it must tread carefully to avoid self-inflicted economic damage, given US banks’ critical role in European capital markets. Alan Houmann, formerly of Citigroup, highlighted the stakes, saying, “The EU has a lot of leverage on the services side . . . and it can really make that hurt.” As tensions rise, the potential for a broader economic fallout looms large, with Wilson noting the “massive risk to the global economy” posed by such retaliatory actions.
The European Union is poised to retaliate against U.S. President Donald Trump’s sweeping 20% tariffs on EU imports, with Big Tech emerging as a potential target. Announced Wednesday, the tariffs—based solely on the U.S.’s $235.6 billion goods deficit with the EU—have rattled global markets. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned that “all instruments are on the table,” signaling the EU’s readiness to wield its trade and tech leverage. Options include stricter regulations via the Digital Markets Act or the Anti-Coercion Instrument to restrict U.S. firms like Apple, Google, and Amazon, which dominate Europe’s tech market.
Holger Schmieding of Berenberg predicted the EU might delay significant retaliation until mid-year negotiations falter, noting, “Tech companies are an avenue through which the EU could hit the U.S. hard.” Experts suggest measures could range from licensing delays to investment bans, capitalizing on Europe’s reliance on U.S. tech giants headquartered in Dublin. Von der Leyen emphasized the bloc’s strength, stating, “Europe holds a lot of cards, from trade to technology to the size of our market,” as the EU braces for a high-stakes showdown with Trump’s administration.
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