In June 2025, U.S. private sector jobs declined by 33,000—the first drop since March and well below market expectations of a 95,000 gain, according to ADP data. The service sector lost 66,000 jobs, especially in professional and business services (-56K), education and health (-52K), and financial activities (-14K). However, gains were seen in leisure and hospitality (+32K), trade and transportation (+14K), and information (+5K). The goods-producing sector added 32,000 jobs, mainly in manufacturing (+15K), construction (+9K), and mining (+8K).
Job loss
Wage growth slowed slightly: +4.4% YoY for job-stayers and +6.8% for job-changers. Despite few layoffs, cautious hiring and unfilled vacancies contributed to the decline. Larger companies (500+ employees) added 30,000 jobs, while small firms (<20 employees) lost 29,000, reflecting the pressure of rising tariffs and economic uncertainty. Overall, the data signals weakening labor market momentum and declining business confidence, particularly among smaller firms.
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